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Asashosakari

Hatsu 2007 banzuke speculation

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Might as well get this going...

Another odd banzuke, albeit for completely different reasons...this time the holes are at the bottom. After M12 I'm running out of rikishi - everybody who's still unassigned in Makuuchi should go much, much lower (preferably into Juryo), and Juryo holds no further credible promotion candidates. Hmm.

Asashoryu (Ye, 15-0Y)	 Y	---
Kotooshu (O1w, 10-5)	  O1   Tochiazuma (O2e, 10-5)
Kaio (O2w, 10-5)		  O2   Chiyotaikai (O1e, 9-6)
---					   O3   Hakuho (O2w, 0-0-15)
Kotomitsuki (Sw, 9-6)	 S	Miyabiyama (Se, 8-7)
Kisenosato (K1e, 8-7)	 K1   Roho (K2w, 8-7)
Kotoshogiku (M2e, 10-5)   K2   Dejima (M3w, 10-5)
Tokitenku (M3e, 9-6)	  M1   Kyokutenho (M6e, 10-5)
Baruto (M6w, 10-5)		M2   Aminishiki (K2e, 6-9)
Homasho (M11e, 12-3)	  M3   Ama (M1e, 6-9)
Takamisakari (M9e, 10-5)  M4   Asasekiryu (M9w, 10-5)
Kasugao (M7w, 8-7)		M5   Kakuryu (M8w, 8-7)
Tochinonada (M5w, 7-8)	M6   Kokkai (K1w, 3-12)
Takekaze (M4e, 6-9)	   M7   Kakizoe (M4w, 6-9)
Futeno (M2w, 5-10)		M8   Toyonoshima (M10w, 8-7)
Jumonji (J2w, 13-2Y)	  M9   Tamakasuga (M14e, 9-6)
Tochinohana (M13w, 8-7)   M10  Iwakiyama (M1w, 2-13)
Tokitsuumi (J4e, 10-5)	M11  Kasuganishiki (J2e, 9-6)
Yoshikaze (J1e, 8-7)	  M12  Toyozakura (M8e, 5-10)
.
.
.

I suppose promoting Dejima to Komusubi isn't really necessary, but a) I think he deserves it, b) the top of the banzuke works quite nicely this way, and c) even using only 3 Komusubi doesn't help much at the bottom...

Anyway, I'm at a loss how to continue from here on. Like this?

Tamanoshima (M7e, 2-9-4)  M13  Hokutoriki (M5e, 0-9-6)
Tochiozan (J7w, 9-6)	  M14  Satoyama (J5w, 8-6-1)
Hakurozan (M14w, 7-8)	 M15  Otsukasa (M15e, 7-8)

Pretty ugly with those promotions from the depths of Juryo, and Tamanoshima and Hokutoriki (especially the latter) would be getting off way too lightly, too...

Maybe this...

Tochiozan (J7w, 9-6)	  M13  Satoyama (J5w, 8-6-1)
Tamanoshima (M7e, 2-9-4)  M14  Hakurozan (M14w, 7-8)
Otsukasa (M15e, 7-8)	  M15  Asofuji (M13e, 6-9)

Or some other permutation of Hakurozan/Otsukasa/Asofuji in the bottom three slots.

Comments and eviscerations welcome. (Neener, neener...)

Edited by Asashosakari

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Here we go: (Neener, neener...)

  Y e   Asashoryu	 (Y e, 15-0)
.O 1 e  Kotooshu	  (O 1 w, 10-5)
.O 1 w  Tochiazuma	(O 2 e, 10-5)
.O 2 e  Kaio		  (O 3 w, 10-5)
.O 2 w  Chiyotaikai   (O 1 e, 9-6)
.O 3 w  Hakuho		(O 2 w, 0-15)
 S e   Kotomitsuki   (S w, 9-6)
 S w   Miyabiyama	(S e, 8-7)
 K e   Kisenosato	(K 1 e, 8-7)
 K w   Roho		  (K 2 w, 8-7)

M 01 e  Kotoshogiku   (M 02 e, 10-5)
M 01 w  Dejima		(M 03 w, 10-5)
M 02 e  Tokitenku	 (M 03 e, 9-6)
M 02 w  Kyokutenho	(M 06 e, 10-5)
M 03 e  Baruto		(M 06 w, 10-5)
M 03 w  Aminishiki	(K 2 e, 6-9)
M 04 e  Ama		   (M 01 e, 6-9)
M 04 w  Homasho	   (M 11 e, 12-3)
M 05 e  Takamisakari  (M 09 e, 10-5)
M 05 w  Asasekiryu	(M 09 w, 10-5)
M 06 e  Tochinonada   (M 05 w, 7-8)
M 06 w  Kasugao	   (M 07 w, 8-7)
M 07 e  Kakuryu	   (M 08 w, 8-7)
M 07 w  Takekaze	  (M 04 e, 6-9)
M 08 e  Kakizoe	   (M 04 w, 6-9)
M 08 w  Futeno		(M 02 w, 5-10)
M 09 e  Kokkai		(K 1 w, 3-12)
M 09 w  Toyonoshima   (M 10 w, 8-7)
M 10 e  Jumonji	   (J 02 w, 13-2)
M 10 w  Iwakiyama	 (M 01 w, 2-13)
M 11 e  Tamakasuga	(M 14 e, 9-6)
M 11 w  Toyozakura	(M 08 e, 5-10)
M 12 e  Tochinohana   (M 13 w, 8-7)
M 12 w  Tokitsuumi	(J 04 e, 10-5)
M 13 e  Yoshikaze	 (J 01 e, 8-7)
M 13 w  Kasuganishiki (J 03 e, 9-6)
M 14 e  Tamanoshima   (M 07 e, 2-13)
M 14 w  Asofuji	   (M 13 e, 6-9)
M 15 e  Hakurozan	 (M 14 w, 7-8)
M 15 w  Otsukasa	  (M 15 e, 7-8)
M 16 e  Ushiomaru	 (M 12 e, 5-10)
M 16 w  Tosanoumi	 (M 12 w, 5-10)

J 01 e  Hokutoriki	(M 05 e, 0-15)
J 01 w  Kitazakura	(M 11 w, 4-11)
J 02 e  Katayama	  (M 15 w, 6-9)
J 02 w  Satoyama	  (J 05 w, 8-7)
J 03 e  Shimotori	 (J 01 w, 6-9)
J 03 w  Tochiozan	 (J 07 w, 9-6)
J 04 e  Hochiyama	 (J 03 w, 7-8)
J 04 w  Wakanosato	(J 11 e, 10-5)
J 05 e  Tamarikido	(J 04 w, 7-8)
J 05 w  Ryuho		 (J 05 e, 7-8)
J 06 e  Takanowaka	(J 02 e, 5-10)
J 06 w  Ryuo		  (J 06 w, 7-8)
J 07 e  Tochisakae	(J 07 e, 7-8)
J 07 w  Kaiho		 (J 09 w, 8-7)
J 08 e  Oga		   (J 06 e, 6-9)
J 08 w  Wakatoba	  (J 08 e, 7-8)
J 09 e  Masatsukasa   (J 10 e, 8-7)
J 09 w  Shunketsu	 (J 10 w, 8-7)
J 10 e  Kyokunankai   (J 12 w, 9-6)
J 10 w  Sumanofuji	(J 13 e, 9-6)
J 11 e  Goeido		(J 11 w, 8-7)
J 11 w  Hakuba		(Ms 2 e, 7-0)
J 12 e  Kobo		  (J 09 e, 6-9)
J 12 w  Daimanazuru   (J 08 w, 4-11)
J 13 e  Wakanoho	  (Ms 1 e, 4-3)
J 13 w  Bushuyama	 (Ms 4 w, 5-2)
J 14 e  Shiraishi	 (Ms 4 e, 4-3)
J 14 w  Tamaasuka	 (J 14 w, 7-8)

A nice occurrence for Banzuke Topics:

This will be the first time ever for Kotooshu to be Ozeki east, after he has been an Ozeki (west) for 6 tournaments.

Edited by Odoriou

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Anyway, I'm at a loss how to continue from here on. Like this?

Tamanoshima (M7e, 2-9-4)  M13  Hokutoriki (M5e, 0-9-6)
Tochiozan (J7w, 9-6)	  M14  Satoyama (J5w, 8-6-1)
Hakurozan (M14w, 7-8)	 M15  Otsukasa (M15e, 7-8)

Pretty ugly with those promotions from the depths of Juryo, and Tamanoshima and Hokutoriki (especially the latter) would be getting off way too lightly, too...

Maybe this...

Tochiozan (J7w, 9-6)	  M13  Satoyama (J5w, 8-6-1)
Tamanoshima (M7e, 2-9-4)  M14  Hakurozan (M14w, 7-8)
Otsukasa (M15e, 7-8)	  M15  Asofuji (M13e, 6-9)

Or some other permutation of Hakurozan/Otsukasa/Asofuji in the bottom three slots.

Comments and eviscerations welcome. (Neener, neener...)

I'm in almost complete agreement with the top of your 2007 Hatsu basho banzuke.

At the bottom, I don't have any problem with demoting Hokutoriki all the way down to Juryo. I've seen guys dropped down to Juryo with 0-15 (or equivalent) records from higher maegashira ranks than mae-5.

Similarly, Tamanoshima's 2-9 record at M7 is bad enough to send him down to Juryo under ordinary circumstances. Hakurozan, Otsukasa and Asofuji should stay in Makunouchi. I would also hold my nose and keep Tosanoumi in the top division too, but his 5-10 result is bad enough that he might be tempted to retire unless he can find a way to blame it on an injury.

Tochiozan and Asofuji should each be promoted to Makunouchi. They deserve equal consideration, and it would be unfair to promote 1 without the other. The only other guy who deserves consideration for promotion from Juryo is Wakanosato, but coming all the way from Juryo-11 with a 10-5 record is simply not appropriate.

So the only really tough choice for me is whether to demote Tamanoshima to Juryo. My preference is to keep him in makunouchi but that might mean that tochiozan or Asofuji will have to go

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From Jiji Press:

East yokozuna Asashoryu

East ozek Kotooshu

West ozeki Tochiazuma

East ozeki Kaio

West ozeki Chiyotaikai

West ozeki Hakuho

East sekiwake Miyabiyama

West sekiwake Kotomitsuki

East komusubi Kisenosato

West komusubi Roho

East komusubi Kotoshogiku

East M1 Dejima

West M1 Tokitenku

East M2 Kyokutenho

West M2 Baruto

East M3 Homasho

West M3 Aminishiki

East M4 Takamisakari

West M4 Asasekiryu

East M5 Ama

West M5 Kasugao

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Don't forget about Musashigawa's achievement - 3 Ozeki (Musoyama, Dejima, Miyabiyama) and Yokozuna (Musashimaru)

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Three Komusubi, interesting...but then again, we all know how many grains of salt to take with Jiji's forecasts.

Seems to be a valid option for GTB though, because you'll be only half a rank off with a wrong guess instead of a full rank with 2/4 Komusubi.

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Don't forget about Musashigawa's achievement - 3 Ozeki (Musoyama, Dejima, Miyabiyama) and Yokozuna (Musashimaru)

Not to forget Wakanoyama's single basho as komusubi when there were 5 sanyaku together with the quoted. But let us not forget, having 3 sanyaku from the same stable is by no means a record. Futagoyama had 5 sanyaku rather frequently with Takanohana, Wakanohana, Takanonami, Akinoshima and Takatoriki or Naminohana.

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Three Komusubi, interesting...but then again, we all know how many grains of salt to take with Jiji's forecasts.

Seems to be a valid option for GTB though, because you'll be only half a rank off with a wrong guess instead of a full rank with 2/4 Komusubi.

You're still screwed if your guess is otherwise in the correct order though, since it means you're only getting 1 of 4 possible points for each two adjacent rikishi.

Hmm, perhaps the mods could merge my earlier banzuke thread into this one? Seems the Jiji guess is gonna generate more interest than mine did. (A yokozuna...)

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Hm, I agree with that banzuke.

However, there is quite a bit of turmoil in the lower makuuchi ranks. I have Tamanoshima drop only to M13, which does not feel right at all, but there are just too many rikishi with bad records down there.

With only two komusubi, this would be less bad.

Edit: oops, there was a merge! I agree with the Jiji press banzuke, I meant!

Edited by Oimeru

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...perhaps the mods could merge my earlier banzuke thread into this one?

My apology.

I did not see your original thread initially.

Now the topics have been merged.

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Three Komusubi, interesting...but then again, we all know how many grains of salt to take with Jiji's forecasts.

Seems to be a valid option for GTB though, because you'll be only half a rank off with a wrong guess instead of a full rank with 2/4 Komusubi.

Hope there are more than a few grains there. I only used three Komusubi for my GTB guess too.

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I have only 4 Promotions from Juryo (Jumonji, Tokitsuumi, Kasuganishiki, Yoshikaze). I don't see Satoyama or even Tochiozan coming up. This means, that Tamanoshima & Hokutoriki have to stay in my banzuke. I tried a 3-Komusubi-Version and it worked well until M12.

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This is my bottom-of-makuuchi banzuke right now:

M12E	J4E	+15	10	Tokitsuumi
M12W	J1E	+8	 8	Yoshikaze
M13E	J3E	+11	9	Kasuganishiki
M13W	M7E	-13	2	Tamanoshima
M14E	M13E	-2	6	Asofuji
M14W	M12E	-5	5	Ushiomaru
M15E	M12W	-5	5	Tosanoumi
M15W	M14W	-2	7	Hakurozan
M16E	M15E	-2	7	Otsukasa

I am not very happy with this, but it's either keeping Ushiomaru and Tosanoumi or promoting Satoyama and Tochiozan. I can't bring myself to do that...

Furthermore, pushing Ushiomaru and Tosanoumi would mean that Hakurozan and Otsukasa kept their ranks despite make koshi. So they have some major banzuke luck here.

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Well, here's another attempt of mine, picking up from my earlier guess with a revised M11/12...

Toyozakura (M8e, 5-10)	M11  Tokitsuumi (J4e, 10-5)
Kasuganishiki (J2e, 9-6)  M12  Yoshikaze (J1e, 8-7)
Tamanoshima (M7e, 2-9-4)  M13  Hokutoriki (M5e, 0-9-6)
Asofuji (M13e, 6-9)	   M14  Hakurozan (M14w, 7-8)
Otsukasa (M15e, 7-8)	  M15  Ushiomaru (M12e, 5-10)

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I'm not being as nice to Jumonji. Also assuming 3 Komusubi.


11E Jumonji JW2 (13-2)

11W Toyozakura ME8 (5-10)

12E Tamanoshima ME7 (2-9-4)

12W Kasuganishiki JE3 (9-6)

13E Yoshikaze JE1 (8-7)

13W Tokitsuumi JE4 (10-5)

14E Ushiomaru ME12 (5-10)

14W Tosanoumi MW12 (5-10)

15E Asofuji ME13 (6-9)

15W Hokutoriki ME5 (0-9-6)

16E Hakurozan MW14 (7-8)

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From Jiji Press:

East yokozuna Asashoryu

East ozek Kotooshu

West ozeki Tochiazuma

East ozeki Kaio

West ozeki Chiyotaikai

West ozeki Hakuho

East sekiwake Miyabiyama

West sekiwake Kotomitsuki

East komusubi Kisenosato

West komusubi Roho

East komusubi Kotoshogiku

East M1 Dejima

West M1 Tokitenku

East M2 Kyokutenho

I would prefer that :

YE: Asashoryu YE(15-0)

O1E: Kotoshoo OW (10-5)

O1W: Tochiazuma OE2(10-5)

O2E: Kaio OW3 (10-5)

O2W: Chiyotaikai OE (9-6)

O3E: None

O3W: Hakuho OW2 (0-0-15)

S1E: Kotomitsuki SW (9-6)

S1W: Miyabiyama SE (8-7)

S2E: Kisenosato KE (8-7)

S2W: None

K1E: Roho KW2 (8-7)

K1W: Kotoshogiku ME2 (10-5)

K2E: None

K2W : Dejima M3W (10-5)

...

Edited by charliki

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I would prefer that :

S2E: Kisenosato KE (8-7)

I guess Kisenosato would prefer that, too, but I can't see it happen. Doesn't matter how many 8-7 in a row you get at Komusubi when there are still two Sekiwake refusing to budge.

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