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Kozaru

Biggest threat to Taiho's yusho record?

  

15 members have voted

  1. 1. Which scenario is most likely to see the 32-yusho record fall?

    • Asashoryu wiggles out of trouble
      2
    • Asashoryu gets fired, leaves Hakuho unchallenged
      9
    • No way it falls to the Mongols!
      4


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My gut feeling is that Asa has little chance to break it himself, but if he gets fired, we could see Hakuho break it in 25 basho (minimum required: 21 basho). Asa staying could slow Hakuho down enough to allow a new challenger to emerge.

Thoughts?

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It's way too early for any thoughts on Hakuho and his final yusho count (short version: he'll do it only if he stays injury-free - definitely not impossible, but unlikely enough), but I do think Asashoryu's goose is cooked.

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Hakuho has good change to get over twenty yushos, but after that mark it will be hard way to break records.

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Asashoryu wiggles out of trouble, leaves Hakuho unchallenged.

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Asashoryu wiggles out of trouble, leaves Hakuho unchallenged.

This seems like an odd prediction considering that Asa has won 3 of the last 7 tournaments. You think he's got nothing left in the tank?

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Hakuho has good change to get over twenty yushos, but after that mark it will be hard way to break records.

With no Asa, Hakuho could likely take 10-11 of the next 12 tournaments. That would only bring him up to weeks after his 27th birthday, and put him within 10 of the record. Who's going to stop him from getting at least that far, besides an injury? I think that part is nearly guaranteed. After he's there, another 10 championships over 4 years would be do-able. Most people on here seem to think we're a long, long way away from the next Yokozuna, and Hak would need to be seriously opposed soon to derail his record hopes. With no Asa, and no other serious competition, the record could fall in just over 4 years. It's really a matter of timing. Asa was very fortunate in this respect, with nobody else able to regularly win 12 matches in a tournament during his solo reign. How long is it before the next contender arises?

I hope we're never going to find out about this, because I'd like Asa to stay.

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You think he's got nothing left in the tank?

I'm just missing the option "neither fired nor record".

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I'm just missing the option "neither fired nor record".

Well that's obviously your own fault for holding such completely inconceivable opinions.

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Hakuho has good change to get over twenty yushos, but after that mark it will be hard way to break records.

With no Asa, Hakuho could likely take 10-11 of the next 12 tournaments. That would only bring him up to weeks after his 27th birthday, and put him within 10 of the record. Who's going to stop him from getting at least that far, besides an injury? I think that part is nearly guaranteed. After he's there, another 10 championships over 4 years would be do-able. Most people on here seem to think we're a long, long way away from the next Yokozuna, and Hak would need to be seriously opposed soon to derail his record hopes. With no Asa, and no other serious competition, the record could fall in just over 4 years. It's really a matter of timing. Asa was very fortunate in this respect, with nobody else able to regularly win 12 matches in a tournament during his solo reign. How long is it before the next contender arises?

I hope we're never going to find out about this, because I'd like Asa to stay.

Well, being around 20 yusho at the age of 27 is not the problem. Several have done it. The problem is the last 12.

Anyway, as others have stated, the options are a bit strange. I don't think either will make 32, not because they are not dai-enough-yokozunas, but because 32 is difficult (duh). That something is doable does not make it probable. Anyway, I believe Asashoryu will stay in but will not win many more yusho either way, so he will not as such be the biggest threat to Hakuho. That threat will be injuries and future opposition.

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And Hakuho is now unopposed. Who will be the next to beat him in a yusho race? And when will that be?

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